Watch These Intel Price Levels as Stock Plunges on Weak Earnings, Soft Guidance

Tim Smith has 20+ years of experience in the financial services industry, both as a writer and as a trader.

Updated August 02, 2024 10:13 AM EDT Source: TradingView.com.

UPDATE: This article has been updated with share price information from early trading on Friday.

Key Takeaways

Intel (INTC) shares plunged after the chipmaker reported quarterly results that missed Wall Street quarterly estimates, issued soft current-quarter guidance, and unveiled a $10 billion cost-cutting plan that includes slashing 15% of its workforce.

The stock, which has tumbled about 60% from its December 2023 high, has come under heavy investor scrutiny this year amid the chipmaker’s sizable investment in manufacturing facilities to ramp up its loss-making foundry business, as it aims to capture market share from contract silicon giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM).

Shares were down 29% at $20.72 about half an hour into Friday's trading session.

Below, we zoom out on Intel’s monthly chart to identify historically significant price levels that may come into focus amid the stock’s post-earnings drop.

Selling Conviction

Intel shares have continued to trend sharply lower after breaking down from a ten-month ascending channel in April. More recently, an attempt by bulls to reclaim the 200-month moving average in July proved futile, with the stock closing near its monthly low.

Importantly, above-average trading volume has accompanied the decline, indicating conviction by larger market players.

Monitor These Crucial Historical Support Levels

Amid the earnings-driven plunge, investors should monitor three crucial price levels on the chart where Intel shares may attract bargain hunters.

The first sits at $26. Though the stock opened lower than this level Friday, it’s worth watching if buyers can close the stock above a multi-year horizontal line that links multiple peaks and troughs from March 2005 all the way to March last year.

A breakdown below the above level could see the shares fall to around $20, where they would likely attract buying interest near the psychological round number and an important trendline that connects a range of comparable price action from the height of the dot-com bust in September 2001 through to February 2013.

An ongoing selling rout could lead to a test of the $13 area, a location on the chart last visited at the depths of the great recession between 2008 and 2009.

In addition to watching the levels outlined above, investors should also monitor for oversold readings in the relative strength index (RSI). The last time the indicator bottomed out below the 30 threshold in September 2022, Intel shares rallied around 95% over the following 15 months.

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  1. Intel. "Intel Reports Second-Quarter 2024 Financial Results; Announces $10 Billion Cost Reduction Plan to Increase Efficiency and Market Competitiveness."
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